When it comes to the fight against climate change, the Southern Ocean is on our side.
For around 200 years it has acted as a major buffer against global warming by absorbing harmful carbon dioxide.
But the ocean around Antarctica is building up a colossal 'burp' that could trigger an increase in global temperatures, experts have warned.
And the effects could last for more than a century – with some of the world's most vulnerable countries at greatest risk.
Rather than a Homer Simpson–esque belch, this 'burp' signifies an 'abrupt discharge of heat' that could take place over decades.
Over time, deep currents bring warm water – which has gradually been heating up over centuries – to the surface of the ocean, where it directly reheats the atmosphere.
This would cause temperatures to increase, ice sheets to melt, sea levels to rise and reverse decades of climate change progress, the researchers cautioned.
And the impact could be comparable to global warming caused by humans, they said.
The Southern Ocean (pictured) has acted like a major buffer against global warming by absorbing carbon dioxide. But it could re–release heat in the form of a colossal 'burp' (file image)
Researchers predict a 'burp' could occur in 600 years or so, causing a reversal in downward global warming trends
Climate researchers based in Germany predict that over the next 600 years, the Earth will begin to cool down thanks to a reduction in emissions and less reliance on fossil fuels.
But oceans can hold heat for a long time – leading to an enormous global energy imbalance over centuries.
This heat must eventually be re–released into the atmosphere, committing Earth to additional warming even once greenhouse gas emissions stop.
The study was carried out by a team at the GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research in Kiel, Germany.
'After several hundred years of net–negative emissions and gradual global cooling, abrupt discharge of heat from the ocean leads to a global mean surface temperature increase of several tenths of degrees that lasts for more than a century,' the authors wrote in the journal AGU Advances.
'This ocean heat "burp" originates from heat that has previously accumulated under global warming in the deep Southern Ocean, and emerges to the ocean surface via deep convection.'
Their model predicts that in around 200 years, global warming will peak at around 2.25°C above pre–industrial levels.
It will then begin to decrease, dropping back down to below 1.5°C by the year 2600. But once the Southern Ocean releases its 'burp', global warming will once again rise to around 1.7°C – reversing centuries of progress.
This diagram indicates how the 'burp' could take place. Over years, as the interior of the ocean warms, it builds up to an 'enhanced heat release' which warms the atmosphere
The team warned that the release of heat would be bad news for sea ice, causing surface area to drop as a result of rising temperatures
The team found the warming would be 'greatest and longest-lasting in the Southern Hemisphere, suggesting a greater impact on today's more vulnerable countries of the global south'.
They predict that while the ocean will release heat during its 'burp', they do not believe it will also release large amounts of carbon dioxide.
This is good news, they said, as doing so would further amplify global warming.
Scientists have previously discovered the Southern Ocean bears the brunt of our planet's ocean warming, and accounts for almost all global ocean heat uptake.
This is despite it only covering around 15 per cent of Earth's total ocean surface area.
One significant ecological impact of strong Southern Ocean warming is on Antarctic krill. When ocean warming occurs beyond temperatures they can tolerate, the krill's habitat contracts and they move even farther south to cooler waters.
As krill is a key component of the food web, this will also change the distribution and population of larger predators and further increase stress for penguins and whales.
Antarctica's ice sheets contain 70% of world's fresh water - and sea levels would rise by 180ft if it melts
Antarctica holds a huge amount of water.
The three ice sheets that cover the continent contain around 70 per cent of our planet’s fresh water - and these are all to warming air and oceans.
If all the ice sheets were to melt due to global warming, Antarctica would raise global sea levels by at least 183ft (56m).
Given their size, even small losses in the ice sheets could have global consequences.
In addition to rising sea levels, meltwater would slow down the world’s ocean circulation, while changing wind belts may affect the climate in the southern hemisphere.
In February 2018, Nasa revealed El Niño events cause the Antarctic ice shelf to melt by up to ten inches (25 centimetres) every year.
El Niño and La Niña are separate events that alter the water temperature of the Pacific ocean.
The ocean periodically oscillates between warmer than average during El Niños and cooler than average during La Niñas.
Using Nasa satellite imaging, researchers found that the oceanic phenomena cause Antarctic ice shelves to melt while also increasing snowfall.
In March 2018, it was revealed that more of a giant France-sized glacier in Antarctica is floating on the ocean than previously thought.
This has raised fears it could melt faster as the climate warms and have a dramatic impact on rising sea-levels.
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